All the models were wrong. Isola Homes is a Seattle home builder that specializes in Built Green modern homes. Do we really want all this site’s readers to answer that? So when you multiply the known cases by a multiple so high, it brings down the actual mortality rate to somewhere close to the flu, which was what I thought from the beginning. Unfortunately my employer still requires me to fly each week and refuses to use video conferencing. Filthy unsanitized equipment. I just flew today from CA to Seattle on Alaska. Really like seeing the numbers. For now it looks really bad, but wait until after the November election to write the country off. The world is not ever going to be normal again because normal wasnt working! Four days doesn’t make a trend, but starting on April 23rd you do see a slight increase from around ~ 100k to a range of 110-120k. I have yet to see a comment that reports how empty the plane is. Thank you for posting the numbers. Airlines pretending that wearing masks will stop problems caused by inadequate distancing and poor cleaning of airplanes is seriously disrespectful. I flew American yesterday, May 22. No one who will died of Covid is flying. You just take it off once you take off. Qatar and others are expanding destinations. As for guaranteeing $1 million to anyone who gets sick, that is just preposterous. (Please?). Even Cuomo changed his tune from “just one life” to “people are going to die.” ANYONE WHO IS VULNERABLE OR AFRAID CAN STAY HOME. They have been attacked and vilified by the news for a while. I’m fuming they should get any bail out. The CDC’s “Current Best Estimate” of “Symptomatic Case Fatality Ratio” is 0.004. This year. The USA will likely be banned from entering other countries as borders open, or be subjected to 14 day quarantines. I’m here for another round of sanctimonious judgment from the comments. Again looking at the data for more than a millisecond you will see that the average Tuesday always has far less traffic than the average Thursday. Business owner on the west coast, I employe a fair number of people (I worked for free the last couple months too, so we had no layoffs and no pay reductions for front line workers). @Jay – I’m actually one of those coastal elites Cuomo ordered patients sick with COVID-19 to be taken into nursing homes, the very populations that needed the protection. @Shawn/@Amos- I think you both just highlighted what is wrong. I had flight from lax to dfw on AA . I wish I didn’t have to, but I have pushed it back as far as I can. It’s so refreshing to not have masses of people all over the airport. If anything, I am surprised that this many people are still flying, period. My (gut, non-scientific) sense is that it took a bit of time for people to get settled in their place of social distance and come to rest there. If the airlines are selling tickets, is it they who are assuming the risk to provide safe travel. BTW – China passenger numbers have jumped 20 fold in the past couple of weeks. Trust me, it wasn’t creeping in, it stepped right in because it was relevant to the thinking of people in the US vs many other countries/cultures and how they handled the lockdowns. I don’t know specific schedules for the routes you mention, but maybe if only 2 flights a day currently operate where there were previously 10, there are far fewer flights for people to book. Thanks for the information Lucky. Last chance to see parked planes. Life goes on. For example, a family member of mine works as an executive for a healthcare company headquartered in Florida. Very exciting. I used to work in broadcasting 20 years ago. Does passing through TSA checkpoints include employees at the airport who need to go through? This simply isn’t the case, so if you are planning on flying in the coming weeks expect planes to be full. Required fields are marked *. What does he not understand about an American under 50 having a 1 in 3,077 chance of dying if he gets infected with the virus? God bless you and ‘Merica!!! It’s great to see an improvement in the numbers but it will be a long time before there is any profits in the industry. Also, if you decide to delete the political stuff, you have my vote! Travel in the Time of COVID: The news, resources, & information you need. Thrilled to see a rebound. Hint – it’s not going well for Agent Orange. Other than that, all good. And stay mad when Trump gets reelected. Don’t ever leave. If you don’t believe me, maybe you’ll believe that right-wing rag known as the Washington Post. @Lucky maybe you can research and enlighten us as to who the 100,000 +/- people are that’s still flying. My question now is will people be “forced” to travel for work. A prosecutor said blood tests showed Barson had more than nine times the amount of methamphetamine in his system needed to prove impairment. Air inside a closed chamber is cleaned well but a sneeze near or around you will get to you. Keep ‘em coming! On a plane I’d say it becomes basically impossible if the flight is more than around 25% full. People will treat it like a light switch (not ok vs. ok to travel), versus a dimmer control. I think it’s time to (slowly) learn how to live in this new world. The CLT connection bank out at the RJ gates was a zoo pretty much like pre-Covid and I would say 25% of passengers, crew and employees were using masks. Not only that, but we also saw the smallest percentage drop compared to the same day last year. @PaulZ: You’ve said it exactly. I really enjoy to see these updates. So, yes, I think the trend will continue. Australian resident vendors should use the Foreign resident capital gains withholding clearance certificate application form to notify us foreign resident capital gains withholding doesn't need to be withheld from the sale of taxable Australian real property (the asset). And Mr smart guy goes without a mask. This is VERY GOOD. So, ANYTHING that shows growth of spending is really really needed. ‘Circumstantial evidence’ points to Chinese role in creating virus, former Trump adviser says, ‘Mistakes were made’: San Francisco puts school renaming on hold, Psaki punts on whether Joe Biden still views Cuomo as ‘gold standard’ on pandemic, U.S. conservatives crow as Big Tech censorship spreads to press in Australia. Outside of banner ads published through the Boarding Area network, this compensation does not impact how and where products appear on this site. If it were possible to measure the difference, that would be the true measure of success or failure. It just goes to show that people really stopped. Oh, I just realized you said I lied about a CDC CFR of 0.26%. The Nordic countries rank higher in basically all metrics. I honestly think it’s way easier to get covid at the airport. Why don’t they explore the age-stratified statistics? Instead, the virus was allowed to freely spread in New York and elderly, sick patients were ordered back to nursing homes. I realize it is YOUR blog, but those ads in the middle of the text are very annoying. As someone else pointed out the tilda implies “approximate” so you are saying nearly approximate” which makes no sense. It turns out that shamed Mr. Ferguson of Imperial model infamy and his fellow experts on SAGE weren’t even recommending lockdown for the entire UK population in March. I haven’t seen any studies/reports of outbreaks arising from air travel. Yet, I won’t hold my breadth because those folks rely on sophistry to make their claims, which means that they are delusional but do not know it because they are convinced that their arguments make sense. I live in Arizona which is a snowbird state. I then explained how to calculate that rate given the CDC’s best-estimate CFR of 0.4%. @George Great to hear that some people are still flying. There’s something eerie and disturbing about anyone trying to even claim otherwise now, like watching people run off a cliff while claiming gravity doesn’t exist. Hope to see you all in the air again soon! Looking at my upcoming flights I have noticed closer to 40 – 50 seats taken (discounting block center and seats near the flight crews seats. Now dead). I’m in self isolation in Kuala Lumpur, but am able to fly in ten days back to the US. The least you can do is wear one every time you go out of the house, until this thing is over. Meanwhile, we are told that flying in a professionally cleaned plane with a hospital-grade HEPA filter constantly removing germs/viruses is “dangerous.”, Democrats are going to give Trump a landslide this fall, because they’re spitting on everyone who gave up their lives for three months to “stop the spread.”. The first case was reported in Washington state on … I stay home cause I can hardly go 2 hours with a mask before claustrophobia and hyperventilating kicks in. About half of the other travelers did the same. So, we ruined the world for 1.3% of the NORMAL, NATURAL death rate. What nobody knows is how high the death rate would have been had there not been such restrictions, but I don’t think anyone could argue that the rate would be lower. @ Drew — I noted the percentage of traffic this year compared to last year, not the drop. Really? Anthropologist champions Proposition 209 in California, 'Follow the science' Biden accused of ignoring science on key issues, 'Fact Checkers' twisting themselves in knots to cover for Biden's lies, EXCLUSIVE: Biden team colluded with Iran to foil Trump diplomacy, EXCLUSIVE: Homeland Security plans to gut immigration enforcement arm. YoY increase or decrease is the proper way to reflect this in Finance lingo. There are still a handful of states not on lockdown, as well as lots of people making fun of social distancing. Sales calls aren’t easy but with preparation and training, they are an invaluable skill anyone can master. 46 did fly What date and was the seat next to you empty? If you fly now, with (some) planes 10-20% full, you can still practice social distancing. @UA-NYC – still being really stupid and clueless huh? I am going to have to fly across country soon. Craziest part was looking down after takeoff to see not a single other aircraft moving on the ground – not on the runway, not pulling up to a gate, NOTHING. What you have failed to note is that the number of deaths is AFTER the various restrictions have been put in place. Monitoring a flight I have a ticket on, DCA-EYW, and it been going for a few days. It was not the empty plane I expected. Reading comprehension, my innumerate friend. Not sure why the comment is needed ‘for better or worse’ Are y’all so bored that you have to keep harping on how Ben presented his numbers? Who is to blame when someone falls sick and dies? Now people want to get back to living their lives and having jobs. People need to be aware that airlines care more for making money than they do about passenger welfare. No point in getting “deals” if all you’re going to get is bottled water. Remind me again. @George said: “So, we ruined the world for 1.3% of the NORMAL, NATURAL death rate”. 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